Russian forces are significantly increasing the intensity of their campaign against Ukraine’s power infrastructure, aiming to worsen conditions for a population already under strain ahead of winter.
This is a coercive strategy that Moscow seeks to repeat in order to pressure the Kyiv leadership and weaken its negotiating position.
In the first 3 days of November, Russia launched more than 2,000 drones and over 100 missiles against Ukrainian energy infrastructure targets. Since late September, it has carried out 36 attacks on power plants and hit at least 80 substations, including those linking the nuclear power plants in western Ukraine with the capital.
Last night saw one of the most massive missile strikes in recent months, involving about 100 ballistic missiles (ISKANDER and KN-23) and subsonic air-launched cruise missiles (about 70 Kh-101), plus ONIKS supersonic ground-launched cruise missiles and ZIRCON hypersonic missiles.
According to available reports, the thermal power plants of Prydniprovska (Dnipro, pictured), Ladyzhyn (Vinnytsia), Zmiivska and TEC-5 (Kharkiv), and Kryvyi Rih were hit, as was the Kaniv hydroelectric plant (Cherkasy). The following morning, DTEK, Ukraine’s largest private energy operator, announced that the Prydniprovska, Kryvyi Rih and Ladyzhyn plants had suffered heavy damage and had ceased operations for the time being.
The most significant figure, which points to the serious difficulties facing Ukraine’s air defense and missile defense, is that fewer than half of the Kh-101 missiles were intercepted.
A new attack took place overnight. This time the protagonists were the GERAN-2, GERBERA and GERAN-4 drones and the low-cost cruise munitions BANDEROL, FILIN, DAN-T and GERAN-5, which targeted mainly the port area of Odesa and the Kyiv Oblast. In the capital, the 750 kV Kyivska substation was hit. It distributes electricity from the Rivne and Khmelnytskyi nuclear power plants to the city, and the left bank of the Dnipro River was left completely without power.
In general, as our local sources confirm, Kyiv is without electricity for 12-14 hours a day, and water supply is also intermittent. Under these conditions, the Ukrainian population is bracing for a winter that promises to be extremely harsh.
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